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It is not definitive, it's anecdotal, among a totally different population (high rates of natural seropositivity, younger population, bad data). Oxford Study o
by jollybean 5y ago
It is not definitive, it's anecdotal, among a totally different population (high rates of natural seropositivity, younger population, bad data).
Oxford Study of early Omicron in UK shows it's no different than Delta, but they cautioned that data is limited. [1]
The point is: while we might get lucky with Omicron, we don't have definitive data on it, ergo, we have to rely on our past experience with Alpha/Beta/Delta to inform policy.
And FYI what is 'definitive' is that we are 100% sure that it is 'much more transmissible' by about 3x.
If Omicron is 'as bad as Delta' - and - we knew it was 3x more transmissible - and we were not sure of it's legality - and the government didn't take decisive action, the resulting death would imply dereliction of duty on a criminal scale.
There are 10x more people who are 'pro vaccine' than 'anti' and the 'protests' over needless death would be much worse.
I am hopeful that Omicron will be less lethal but esp. with Xmas and 3x tranmissability, we have not choice but to take action.
[1] https://www.research.ox.ac.uk/article/2021-12-14-omicron-and-vaccines-faq https://www.research.ox.ac.uk/article/2021-12-14-omicron-and...
- Notanothertoo 5y agoOr yea know, I let people asses their own risks and rewards, forcing people out of work without fully compensating them is criminal and comes at great cost.