3 ms·
Hospitalizations are not flat. They're doubling roughly every week [1], and are at close to 50% of their Delta peak [2]. [1] https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content
by nostrademons 5y ago
Hospitalizations are not flat. They're doubling roughly every week [1], and are at close to 50% of their Delta peak [2].
[1] https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/NICD-COVID-19-Daily-Sentinel-Hospital-Surveillance-Report-National-20211219.pdf https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/NICD-COVID...
[2] https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/omicron-update-dec-17 https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/omicron-updat...
- runeks 5y agoThe first link seems to show a flattening. Where are you seeing a doubling per week here?
- nostrademons 5y agoIgnore the last bar (2021.50) - there are reporting delays, and the total goes up as more data comes in. The following day [1] shows it at 6887, +1292 for the day, and the day after [2] shows it at 8019. This is good practice for any very recent (< 1 week old) data - expect there to be reporting delays, and that the most recent totals will be updated in the future. If you look at the bars for 2021.46 - 2021.49, there's a clear exponential trend with a doubling time of about a week, going from 715 to 1446 to 3994 to 7558. [1] https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Datcov19_National_Export-20211220.pdf https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Datcov19_N... [2] https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Datcov19_National_Export-20211221.pdf https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Datcov19_N...