Of course exponential growth goes quickly. OPs argument was that the constant factor of hospitalization doesn't matter at all, which is ridiculous in the real w

Of course exponential growth goes quickly. OPs argument was that the constant factor of hospitalization doesn't matter at all, which is ridiculous in the real world. If you take an exponential growth of 1.5, quite a quickly spreading infection. And a hospitilization factor of 5% vs 0.05%: day 20: 3.3k cases, 165 vs 1 hospitilization day 25: 25k. 1.2k vs 13 day 30: 191k 9.5k vs 95 day 35: 1.5m 73k vs 728 day 40: 11m 550k vs 5528 So a 10M people country with ~5k. beds wouldn't have healthcare capacity due to the constant factor, while without they would be overwhelmed within a month.