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Yeah I've been kinda wondering about what the deal is there - given the slow public build-up of forces it seems hard to imagine Russia going forward with an old
by heyitsguay 5y ago
Yeah I've been kinda wondering about what the deal is there - given the slow public build-up of forces it seems hard to imagine Russia going forward with an old-school invasion when all those troops will just be drone fodder. Is it for internal propaganda? A way to gather intelligence on Ukraine's defensive responses? I'm sure it's hard to tell from the outside.
- trhway 5y agoUkraine has got strategic advance with the drones (Russia didn't get the message 2 years ago when the air defense Pantsir systems got slaughtered in Syria by those drones). Such a huge advance is though temporary - those Russian air defenses need upgrade to deal with the drones, and it will be done in the near future. So, Ukraine got window of opportunity to solve Donbass the way Azerbajan solved the Karabah using the same drones a year ago. So Russia is trying to prevent it by the public buildup of forces in the way which clearly shows that it can cut Ukranian Donbass forces from the rest of the country by scissor invasion from North and South behind those forces if Ukraine makes a move on Donbass now. Such invasion will be with huge losses and will cost Russia a lot and is very risky, and Russia doesn't want it (at least not at the cost it is going to be at right now), and i'm not sure that Russia can really pull it right now, yet it is the only response Russia got for now, thus such a public build-up of the forces looking a lot like bluffing in poker.