4 ms·
I want to believe but i sure as shit dont see it. ARM still offers only tiny little straws that it talks to the outside world through. How many phones can driv
by rektide 5y ago
I want to believe but i sure as shit dont see it. ARM still offers only tiny little straws that it talks to the outside world through.
How many phones can drive a 4k 144Hz monitor? how many have more than a single 5gbit usb3 jack? how many arm laptops have more than two bare basic usb3 host ports? hiw many chios offer a dozen lanes or more of pcie?
i really really think usb4 is excellent, especially with thunderbolt pcie which is not that much more complexity. gazing at my crystal ball i'd expect two more years before we see arm start to show up here, and likely at the flagship level devices only. it's an indicator to me that arm is an unserious competitor. the ecosystem is a couple massive players, who seemingly are in cahoots to keep from pushing each other to advance much. even the archtecture moves at a crawl. a53 was around for almost a decade and a55 was barely a double digit % speed boost- abysmal, arm, abysmal.
i also think arm is hampered by having such a relationship oriented ecosystem. anyone can go out and buy x86 chips and make a computer. companys like chuwi build super interesting low cost boxes that run rings around most arm chips (not apple). innivation is open. by compare, try getting chips from qualcomm or mediatek or any other modern offering, without being an estaished player shipping dozens of millions of units a year. arm is a much more closed ecosystem, now supported by massive massive margins on $800+ devices, with well defined product niches. x86 is a much less entrenched & much more diverse environment, with much higher general expectations (apple's chips somewhat the exception).
at the high end, in servers, i think arm stands a chance. but these will be chips you cant actually buy, built by hyperscalers, or just phenomenally expensive high margin $6000 servers. if you need compute im expecting workstation chips (hdet) to be higher value, but if you also need io, then there may be some modest value proposition ein over x86. for hyperscalers though they will be saving bank.