3 ms·
I think you're not looking at the numbers the way I do. 1. The closest to reality is probably the 70k figure, since the requirements for probable and confirmed
by fer 5y ago
I think you're not looking at the numbers the way I do.
1. The closest to reality is probably the 70k figure, since the requirements for probable and confirmed are held to unusually high standards (sequencing of one or both samples).
2. The numbers have to be adjusted by date to make sense of them. That's a cumulative analysis of data since the beginning of the pandemic, meaning first infections are overrepresented because you have to have a first to have a second, and because most first infections require uninfected people and there are way more of those.
3. Page 20 shows reinfection rate was climbing along with first infections before widespread vaccination, and also that reinfection rate is receding as first infections climb lately. Statistically it's expected to grow as the previously infected population grows. This, if anything, displays that vaccination in previously infected individuals is effective at preventing reinfection.
- walterbell 5y agoBased on the latest report, what is your estimate for the % of UK people who have been reinfected?