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They didn’t mention the last two years as possibly contributing to less childbirth. There could be counteracting effects there, stuck together with nothing to d

They didn’t mention the last two years as possibly contributing to less childbirth. There could be counteracting effects there, stuck together with nothing to do, vs nobody to meet and nothing to do - but it at least deserves a mention. This 2019-2021 drop could bounce right back up if people chose to delay childbirth.

Retric 5y ago
India has had falling birth rates for decades and it was already close to replacement rate in 2019, so a bounce back is going to have a negligible impact on demographics. https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/india-s-falling-fertility-rate-1950-to-2020.html https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/india-s-falling-fertilit...
newhotelowner 5y ago
I know more Indian couples who has only 1 child vs 3. In my family (my generation), not a single couple has more than 2 child. My family's replacement rate is below 2. From my dads side, we are 12 cousins. We only have 18 kids. My village in India has roughly 440 people. Not a single couple that got married in last 20 years has more than 2 kids. Before Covid, we had a middle school reunion. Every single one of us had 1-2 kids. I have 8 best friends (Married for 15+ years). Only one of my friend and I have 2 kids. Everyone else has only 1 kid. Pretty much all states except a couple are below replacement rate of 2.1. And some are way below 2.1.
- kshacker 5y ago
  Great anecdotes but situation varies from state to state. Fertility rates vary from 1.1 to 2.4 and 3.0. Why did I mention 2.4 AND 3.0 because these 2 states account for a quarter if not more of the Indian population. This is not to say your anecdotes are wrong but there exist different Indias and some of them have not seen the modern light.
gromitss 5y ago
That’s not it. Most of South Asia has been seeing a drastic drop in birthdate over the last few decades.

Retric 5y ago

India has had falling birth rates for decades and it was already close to replacement rate in 2019, so a bounce back is going to have a negligible impact on demographics. https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/india-s-falling-fertility-rate-1950-to-2020.html https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/india-s-falling-fertilit...

newhotelowner 5y ago

I know more Indian couples who has only 1 child vs 3. In my family (my generation), not a single couple has more than 2 child. My family's replacement rate is below 2. From my dads side, we are 12 cousins. We only have 18 kids. My village in India has roughly 440 people. Not a single couple that got married in last 20 years has more than 2 kids. Before Covid, we had a middle school reunion. Every single one of us had 1-2 kids. I have 8 best friends (Married for 15+ years). Only one of my friend and I have 2 kids. Everyone else has only 1 kid. Pretty much all states except a couple are below replacement rate of 2.1. And some are way below 2.1.

kshacker 5y ago
Great anecdotes but situation varies from state to state. Fertility rates vary from 1.1 to 2.4 and 3.0. Why did I mention 2.4 AND 3.0 because these 2 states account for a quarter if not more of the Indian population. This is not to say your anecdotes are wrong but there exist different Indias and some of them have not seen the modern light.

gromitss 5y ago

That’s not it. Most of South Asia has been seeing a drastic drop in birthdate over the last few decades.