5 ms·

I havent seen any evidence covid is seasonal. it may become seasonal. but nothing in the past 2 years as indicated it is.

by jatone 5y ago

QuarterReptile 5y ago
Just so other commenters can understand: are you saying that you haven't seen the charts with enormous spikes on them every time a place enters a cold season? Or that you find them to be uncompelling for some (as yet undisclosed) reason?
- unmole 5y ago
  The second wave hit India at the height of summer. That outlier is big enough for me to be sceptical.
coolspot 5y ago
Have you seen infection/death charts? It peaks in winter and at its minimum in summer.
- unmole 5y ago
  Have you seen the charts for India?
  - selectodude 5y ago
    Have you seen the charts for literally the rest of the world? You're picking an outlier as proof that its not seasonal. Others may say it's the exception that proves the rule.
    - unmole 5y ago
      > Have you seen the charts for literally the rest of the world? I just did. There are no discernable spikes coinciding with cold weather for India, Brazil, the UK or Russia.
      - selectodude 5y ago
        I decided to check Brazil really quickly and there's a very steep drop off once summer hit. I don't even need to bother with the UK.
        unmole 5y ago
        The steep drop off starts of in July which in Brazil is winter.
        Izkata 5y ago
        Most of Brazil is pretty temperate year-round, so they don't really have a very sharp flu season, but what they do have typically peaks around June, which fits with when the covid drop started. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flu_season#Timing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flu_season#Timing -> https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/165/12/1434/125289 https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/165/12/1434/125289 > In the Fourier analysis, the seasonality of influenza in Brazil was characterized by a semiannual pattern, peaking in the winter month of June (amplitude = 27 percent), with a second, smaller peak during the summer (January; amplitude = 13 percent; figure 2).

I havent seen any evidence covid is seasonal. it may become seasonal. but nothing in the past 2 years as indicated it is.

by jatone 5y ago

I havent seen any evidence covid is seasonal. it may become seasonal. but nothing in the past 2 years as indicated it is.

QuarterReptile 5y ago

Just so other commenters can understand: are you saying that you haven't seen the charts with enormous spikes on them every time a place enters a cold season? Or that you find them to be uncompelling for some (as yet undisclosed) reason?

unmole 5y ago
The second wave hit India at the height of summer. That outlier is big enough for me to be sceptical.

coolspot 5y ago

Have you seen infection/death charts? It peaks in winter and at its minimum in summer.

unmole 5y ago
Have you seen the charts for India?
- selectodude 5y ago
  Have you seen the charts for literally the rest of the world? You're picking an outlier as proof that its not seasonal. Others may say it's the exception that proves the rule.
  - unmole 5y ago
    > Have you seen the charts for literally the rest of the world? I just did. There are no discernable spikes coinciding with cold weather for India, Brazil, the UK or Russia.
    - selectodude 5y ago
      I decided to check Brazil really quickly and there's a very steep drop off once summer hit. I don't even need to bother with the UK.
      - unmole 5y ago
        The steep drop off starts of in July which in Brazil is winter.
        Izkata 5y ago
        Most of Brazil is pretty temperate year-round, so they don't really have a very sharp flu season, but what they do have typically peaks around June, which fits with when the covid drop started. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flu_season#Timing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flu_season#Timing -> https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/165/12/1434/125289 https://academic.oup.com/aje/article/165/12/1434/125289 > In the Fourier analysis, the seasonality of influenza in Brazil was characterized by a semiannual pattern, peaking in the winter month of June (amplitude = 27 percent), with a second, smaller peak during the summer (January; amplitude = 13 percent; figure 2).