4 ms·
See also the intuitive explanation: http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes Hilarious blurb about priors about 1/3rd of the wa
by johngalt 15y ago
See also the intuitive explanation:
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
Hilarious blurb about priors about 1/3rd of the way in.
Q. How can I find the priors for a problem?
A. Many commonly used priors are listed in the Handbook of Chemistry and Physics.
Q. Where do priors originally come from?
A. Never ask that question.
Q. Uh huh. Then where do scientists get their priors?
A. Priors for scientific problems are established by annual vote of the AAAS. In recent years the vote has become fractious and controversial, with widespread acrimony, factional polarization, and several outright assassinations. This may be a front for infighting within the Bayes Council, or it may be that the disputants have too much spare time. No one is really sure.
Q. I see. And where does everyone else get their priors?
A. They download their priors from Kazaa.
Q. What if the priors I want aren't available on Kazaa?
A. There's a small, cluttered antique shop in a back alley of San Francisco's Chinatown. Don't ask about the bronze rat.
- InclinedPlane 15y agoI find this to be an even better explanation: http://oscarbonilla.com/2009/05/visualizing-bayes-theorem/ http://oscarbonilla.com/2009/05/visualizing-bayes-theorem/
- kalid 15y agoI like that one too. Yudkowsky's article is way too long for the casual reader.