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They had 2 day warning that the weather system was likely to produce tornadoes. Comment say that Mayfield had about 2.5 hours of warning based on this blog: ht
by themaninthedark 5y ago
They had 2 day warning that the weather system was likely to produce tornadoes.
Comment say that Mayfield had about 2.5 hours of warning based on this blog:
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/12/a-critical-gap-in-tornado-warning.html?m=1 https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/12/a-critical-gap-in-tor...
If you look at the area encompassed by the tornado watch, should they have evacuated it in it's entirety?
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEji0sqQJqWoAwe9rODyi4NfOkGdcAHwXrqG4WGlX9S22VZp_kKQI3vx2yrVAvI8MCmyVE6bGUALREgpMLo8pEyfw6PWhpjWawDLhWNnhMphquNc_i6wL-G_6NucN0fxTmxGubmBwQP1YjA8syn2mQcOPCf6L55zMTxxzMCdPB_0fPuLOpC6fOtssQA0=s1140 https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEji0sqQJqWo...
Look about 300mi x 170mi area. If you take Jones burro as the center, its 120mi to the edge, technically if everyone could evacuate at 60mph you could get everyone out in 2 hours.... but with NWS tornado warnings have a False Alarm Rate (FAR) of roughly 70% you probably won't get that many people to evacuate at all unless you make it mandatory. Then it will take much longer than 2 hours to get people out.
You are talking about massive areas with small amounts of time:
https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhcPxy7gbyruPRvRpRf3x7zQ4ZaUWhAmVIcMzQSB1GHP4WictUICuT8R3OyM2Bc1S2QNAM1D2w0x4NyYaYMQEfFMUqXekRbN9L4RAl4OctlijmXFxvMK1ho-Us3eqJaEz9OAmNpDvTB4KjPkO7HkBfgBKr9LR0oF7f5X6492SQuO9aF_a0129710lpM=s1020 https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhcPxy7gbyr...
is roughly 430 square miles for something that is small and fast moving.
- MrStonedOne 5y agoWhat? I'm not talking about evacuating people... I'm talking about not forcing them to come in to work for a 3rd shift overnight run that can most definitely be delayed by a shift for a weather pattern known to create high numbers of tornadoes.
- selimthegrim 5y agoAs that comment corrected that was more like 20 min (time zone wise)