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> not the death rate I reported the death rate. It didn't increase dramatically yet; only from 12 per day to 30 per day; and that in theory could also be "pati
by thomasmg 5y ago
> not the death rate
I reported the death rate. It didn't increase dramatically yet; only from 12 per day to 30 per day; and that in theory could also be "patient died with Covid" and not "because of Covid". Yes, number of ventilated didn't increase as sharply as would be expected from Delta. So it does look less severe, from the number of ventilated. Oxygenated did increase from around 400 to 800; here as well we are not sure about the cause.
> I think the point here is that hospitalizations in general aren't necessarily increasing.
You are right, the data on this web site doesn't show the total number of hospitalizations (irrespective of Covid).
> there is at least some reason to be hesitantly optimistic.
Yes, I agree.
- bart_spoon 5y ago> I reported the death rate. It didn't increase dramatically yet; only from 12 per day to 30 per day The death rate per day is not what is typically meant by the "death rate", and it suffers from the issue I described: it will absolutely go up as long as cases go up, but that isn't an indication of severity. The "death rate" in the context of epidemiology means the number of deaths per case, not per day. This is what differentiates extremely serious diseases, like ebola, which are rare, but have a death rate of around 50%, vs the flu, which is common but has a death rate of less than 1%. So yes, daily deaths are increasing in South Africa, but the number of cases in South Africa is skyrocketing as well, so it doesn't really tell us much.