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They've been saying Moore's law is dead for 20+ years. Reasons usually quoted for Moore's law's death are quite narrowly focused on a particular technology stac
by systemvoltage 5y ago
They've been saying Moore's law is dead for 20+ years. Reasons usually quoted for Moore's law's death are quite narrowly focused on a particular technology stack, whereas semiconductor fabrication happens on a complex web of technologies all moving forward with their own S-curves.
It is worth watching Jim Keller's lecture at UC Berkeley literally titled "Moore's law is not dead". He talks on a different level alltogether and far more convincing than the pedantic look at the details that enable Moore's law.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oIG9ztQw2Gc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oIG9ztQw2Gc
- ksec 5y agoAnd if you watch his later talk and interviews, his definition of "Moore's law" is basically transistor improvement. And not scaling anything with 2x.
- dane-pgp 5y ago> Reasons usually quoted for Moore's law's death are quite narrowly focused on a particular technology stack To give just one example, here's a paper[0] from 2002 titled "End of Moore's law: thermal (noise) death of integration in micro and nano electronics" which claims "increasing thermal noise voltage (Johnson–Nyquist noise) ... has the potential to break abruptly Moore's law within 6–8 years, or earlier." [0] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0375960102013658 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S03759...
- natded 5y agoWas about to come in and poast Keller, I see it's done, gj & have a nice day.