I take some guidance from this quote from the movie "The Man Who Fell To Earth": "This is 20th century America and we're going to keep it that way" The powerf

I take some guidance from this quote from the movie "The Man Who Fell To Earth": "This is 20th century America and we're going to keep it that way" The powerful will resist change that threatens their power. So change will only come via paths the powerful do not control. So look at everything that is not centralized and expect change to start to manifest there. Look at everything centralized and expect it to stay the same. Apply grains of salt as necessary since any generalization will always be imperfect. It's one way to think about long term change though.