When people's self-interest is on the line--a wager, an investment, etc.--often facts do matter. All that stubborn ideological pretense drops away. People's ove

When people's self-interest is on the line--a wager, an investment, etc.--often facts do matter. All that stubborn ideological pretense drops away. People's overconfident pronouncements on the economy, or whatever, would diminish into cautious qualified speculation if they had to put money where there mouth is. At least some of the times. (: