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> One firm defaults, all their investors lose a bit of money. Now that they've lost a bit of money, they will have less money to lend to other firms. There's a
by DebtDeflation 5y ago
> One firm defaults, all their investors lose a bit of money. Now that they've lost a bit of money, they will have less money to lend to other firms.
There's a lot more to it than that. You have to take into account 1) We have a fractional reserve banking system. When banks start individually calling in loans, there isn't enough "money" in the system for everyone to repay them. 2) Asset market prices (e.g., equities) reflect the present discounted values of expected future earnings. When everyone suddenly expects those future earnings to be less, the prices of those assets fall precipitously. That's not an issue in and of itself, except that those assets may have been purchased on margin (a loan) which depends on the value of those assets and may suddenly be called in for payment, forcing a liquidation of the underlying assets and further price falls. 3) As businesses scramble to pay loans that have been called and to adjust to a market where credit is difficult to come by (and businesses run on credit not cash) they reduce costs and often do so by laying off workers. This causes a reduction in aggregate demand (worker income) across the economy which further exacerbates the problem.
There is inherent instability in the system and all sorts of positive feedback loops that can amplify an initial shock. Suggest reading Irving Fisher and Hyman Minsky to understand more.
- mohanmcgeek 5y agoI agree with (2) but on (1), isn't that about the liquidity _of the bank_. And when banks are illiquid like they were in 2008, the central bank creates liquidity through QE which isn't a bad thing unless you are questioning these banks' ability to repay the money they "borrowed" from the central bank.