there a vicious circle here - the more it costs, the less you do, the less experience you have of doing it, the more it is going to cost when you do do it. It

there a vicious circle here - the more it costs, the less you do, the less experience you have of doing it, the more it is going to cost when you do do it. It is the equivalent of getting first time software engineers to build an enterprise wide system via Waterfall - of course it will screw up, take years, likely won't work as specified, which will then increase risk aversion for a future effort.