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The obvious solution to this problem is to do actual random sampling: pick members of the public in as close to a random fashion as possible, test them for Covi
by makomk 5y ago
The obvious solution to this problem is to do actual random sampling: pick members of the public in as close to a random fashion as possible, test them for Covid regardless of vaccination status or symptoms, and you should be able to get a reasonably unbiased estimate of actual infection levels in the community. The UK has been doing this since about spring 2020, but weirdly no-one else seems to even though it's obviously useful.
- freemint 5y agoJust doing random sampling on a small group to estimate the error ratio should also work. Also as long as everyone who has symptoms can get a test the error ratio is bounded by the ratio of people with symptoms making it irrelevant for this control problem.