3 ms·
Because as new variants with lower virulence emerge, and we see more breakthrough and reinfection cases, that direct link will become less direct. We don't loc
by _ea1k 5y ago
Because as new variants with lower virulence emerge, and we see more breakthrough and reinfection cases, that direct link will become less direct.
We don't lock down for the flu because the virulence of the flu is lower than covid and we consider it acceptable. At some point, we'll pass those acceptability thresholds for COVID as well.
For some people, and regions, they already have passed those thresholds, as both severity and people's acceptance of different outcomes vary.
- hef19898 5y agoI'm not into modelling, I would imagine that, depending on how good the vaccines work against variants, even that could be modelled quite well. For me, the threshold when Covid becomes an acceptable fact of life is when hospitals can work normally without any measures in place. We seem to be quite far from that.
- _ea1k 5y agoIn my state, we have ~10k hospital beds. There are currently ~450 covid patients that are hospitalized and that's actually significantly higher than last week. I think a lot of places are pretty close to that situation now. Of course, total hospital bed utilization is still over 80%, but overwhelmingly its non covid.