3 ms·
They're comparing different/dates/vaccination rates, classic Simpson's paradox. No adjusted data shows otherwise.
by fer 5y ago
They're comparing different/dates/vaccination rates, classic Simpson's paradox. No adjusted data shows otherwise.
- _Understated_ 5y agoI'm not. Taking the last available data point which is 24 Sep 21: Unvax 80+ - 28 deaths Double-vax 80+ - 243 deaths What does that mean? It lools like more die with a double-dose. Is that not correct?
- mminer237 5y agoYou are not. Slightly more vaccinated people died than unvaccinated. However, not from COVID-19. The elderly are more likely to be vaccinated and also more likely to die of heart disease or cancer. You'll note in Table 8 that 34k unvaccinated died of COVID, compared to 14k vaccinated. Also, 83% of people are vaccinated, meaning the unvaccinated would have had to have died at even greater rates, at over 900% the rate of vaccinated. However, to further account for the elderly being at greater risk of COVID, you'll further note that Table 8 has an "age-standardised mortality rate", showing that on an individual basis, choosing to remain unvaccinated made someone 3230% more likely to die of COVID.
- _Understated_ 5y agoOk, so that makes some sense to me. Thanks for explaining it.