> If you gather a group of people and the majority of them bet the Superbowl will be won by 14 points, that does not make that outcome any more likely. Actuall

> If you gather a group of people and the majority of them bet the Superbowl will be won by 14 points, that does not make that outcome any more likely. Actually that would mean it's likely that this is one of the most likeliest outcomes. Assuming betting payout is 1:1 with any point score - which technically would go to infinite, most people would probably vote for the result that was historically most frequent and no-one would vote for something like 1000 point margin for instance.