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Strange to see war starting to surface the mainstream zeigeist, as it's been happening predictably in slow motion as the consequence of obvious incentives for a
by motohagiography 5y ago
Strange to see war starting to surface the mainstream zeigeist, as it's been happening predictably in slow motion as the consequence of obvious incentives for about 18 months, and then it goes up all at once. From everything I can tell from reading about previous ones, war is a kind of triumph of the absurd, where meaning is extinguished and all that is left is the violence until the attrition establishes some coherence again.
My bets are Russia re-establishes some of its soviet era borders between the Black and the Baltic seas, including Ukraine, then possibly Latvia or Estonia. Israel is almost out of alternatives on Iran, and China will consolidate Hong Kong and Taiwan in Xi's lifetime. The only thing standing in any of their way is the alliance of Biden, Bojo, Macron, and Trudeau getting enough democratic traction for a draft and total war. So nothing, basically.
Anyway, remember to act surprised.
- TheGigaChad 5y agoHow and how much are you betting?