4 ms·
I think that's the typical curve of advancement. You expect it to move with noticeable linear speed, but actually what one usually perceives is that short term
by fsloth 5y ago
I think that's the typical curve of advancement. You expect it to move with noticeable linear speed, but actually what one usually perceives is that short term changes are surprisingly small, while long term changes are surprisingly large.
I mean - I took 25 years from first non-exploding V2 flight to the first moon landing. Given it took them 7 years just to build the turbo pump in the engine 25 years is quite a short time to get from a munitions deployment platform to a human space program.
I think there is stagnation in some areas, probably because everyone was been interested in finding out what you can do with the internet, but I think we've now reached the stage where it's part of daily plumbing and not exciting and new anymore, and perhaps more brainpower will be available to figure out what fancy things we can design with this ephemeral super computing capacity.