3 ms·
> However exponential tech that takes us to something like 'singularity' does not seem to come up any more. Most growth is incremental and we hype every single
by jffry 5y ago
> However exponential tech that takes us to something like 'singularity' does not seem to come up any more. Most growth is incremental and we hype every single Lab output with rarely seeing commercial breakthroughs. I was personally always excited about material science breakthroughs using graphene etc. but seems like it is difficult to manufacture at scale even today.
I think at least a decent portion of this feeling can be explained by selection bias and connectivity of the internet.
When you look backwards, all you see are successes. Nobody remembers the innumerable failures that just didn't work out. Now, with a vastly connected internet, you'll hear about more potential technologies than ever before. Research organizations have stepped up their game to publicize and promote their nascent technologies, because it helps obtain funding. And funding is needed to figure out if and how tech can move from a lab into commercial viability.
So I don't think it's all doom and gloom, just that we have unprecedented access to information, and the present always feels slower than the past.
- newyankee 5y agoIt is definitely true that every researcher has to become a great marketer and salesperson to get more funding. This results in a lot of hype for very early stage ideas as well.