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The theory is that it would be someone that is immunocompromised enough to just hang in there for a long time. It's a numbers game. The more people that get inf
by ufo 5y ago
The theory is that it would be someone that is immunocompromised enough to just hang in there for a long time. It's a numbers game. The more people that get infected, the bigger the chance a rare event like this will happen.
This is one reason why vaccine distribution inequity may come back to bite us.
- sjg007 5y agoStill doesn’t make sense… based on the mutation rate, this would have to be someone infected a year or two ago…
- slenk 5y agoI would like to know how you came to the conclusion that this person would have been infected so long - I'd love to see the math. I'm more inclined to believe the experts in this instance.
- sjg007 5y agoIt's pretty simple. You can estimate the genetic mutation rate from the phylogenetic tree since we've been sampling the distribution of Sars-Cov2 genomes since the original Wuhan strain. If that rate is constant and if the variants all mutate at the same speed that gives you a rough timeline. Omicron has 50 mutations that are not related to other known variants. Delta has 13. We've seen delta for about 1 year right? So it's not a big leap to roughly double that estimate for Omicron.
- solmag 5y agoImmunocompromised subpopulation is so small (at least in my country), especially compared to unvaccinated (abt. 30%), that it should be fairly trivial to quarantine them, don't really see an issue here if we are restricting unvaccinated life based on argument about public health.