4 ms·
I see discussions of this all the time around Omicron, the problem is we have no idea how virulent Omicron is. The attributes we care about are immune evasion,
by JamesBarney 5y ago
I see discussions of this all the time around Omicron, the problem is we have no idea how virulent Omicron is. The attributes we care about are immune evasion, transmissibility, severity. We know the most about immune evasion, we have a little data on transmissibility, but we know didly squat about severity.
People aren't talking about it much because we don't even have a bad guess about severity, much less a good guess.
It'll takes a while to figure out severity. Deaths happen 2-8 weeks after symptoms. Which means we're still probably several weeks before we have any good data on severity. And this data is still really hard to parse out especially with immune evasion which makes the average case more mild, even if the disease is more virulent.
- onlyrealcuzzo 5y agoMedian time to death from onset of symptoms ~18.5 days: https://www.drugs.com/medical-answers/covid-19-symptoms-progress-death-3536264/ https://www.drugs.com/medical-answers/covid-19-symptoms-prog... Median time for first symptoms is ~4.5 days: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-guidance-management-patients.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-guida... Within a week, we should start to have a decent picture WRT severity. Obviously, as time goes by, that picture will only get clearer.