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My point was nobody knows better, there is no data at all. If you gather a group of people and the majority of them bet the Superbowl will be won by 14 points,
by mike_d 5y ago
My point was nobody knows better, there is no data at all. If you gather a group of people and the majority of them bet the Superbowl will be won by 14 points, that does not make that outcome any more likely.
The commentor I replied to shouldn't be making statements that the new variant is less severe just because a bunch of people placed bets that it was.
- mewpmewp2 5y ago> If you gather a group of people and the majority of them bet the Superbowl will be won by 14 points, that does not make that outcome any more likely. Actually that would mean it's likely that this is one of the most likeliest outcomes. Assuming betting payout is 1:1 with any point score - which technically would go to infinite, most people would probably vote for the result that was historically most frequent and no-one would vote for something like 1000 point margin for instance.