I don't fully believe that. First of all we need to differentiate 2024 with the present day. In regards to the present day, despite all the setbacks and the gov

I don't fully believe that. First of all we need to differentiate 2024 with the present day. In regards to the present day, despite all the setbacks and the government basically being paralyzed, the US is still moving forward in key technologies and areas of improvement faster than any other western power. Our only real competition is China in many regards and even then they have many pitfalls that could slow them down (instability in the govt, incoming demographic issues). The worry with someone like Trump getting elected is that he will actively go backwards and thats a problem. Its bad enough that he increases tension within the population. If he actually delivered meaningful progress then I think there would be some argument to have him back. But he actively moves backwards on critical issues that we need to move forward on if we are to compete with China. The worst that typically happens with Democrats is that the country stands still which is not great but thats the low bar we have had for decades now. It is entirely possible that a charismatic outsider can come along and provide some tiny semblance of progress like the Obama years. That is the best case scenario for 2024.