most navigation and simple animation can be done in javascript+canvas now, so as soon as there's an open, reliable, bandwidth-efficient, cross-platform video so

most navigation and simple animation can be done in javascript+canvas now, so as soon as there's an open, reliable, bandwidth-efficient, cross-platform video solution that browsers can support, i think flash will go the way of java applets. the iphone will probably help push this along as there's now a large group of people (besides me on my openbsd laptop) that can't navigate websites that require flash.