3 ms·
> people are saying it is "slower than expected". Can you give me some citations for this? I've looked around a bit and all I can see is "faster than expected"
by time_to_smile 5y ago
> people are saying it is "slower than expected".
Can you give me some citations for this? I've looked around a bit and all I can see is "faster than expected"
In fact sea-level rise is another great example of what I'm talking about. Dr. Richard Alley gave a fantastic talk this summer about how we can expect very rapid, very sudden ice sheet collapse, and therefore should also experience potentially very rapid sea level rises[0].
However, as he repeatedly points out in the talk, because these sudden collapses are incredibly hard to simulate and predict they are excluded from all IPCC models. He doesn't deny that predicting when and exactly the impact is an incredibly hard modeling problem, but at the same time makes it pretty clear that this known unknown, so to speak, is very real and very likely to have a major impact.
Edit: you should watch at least the beginning of the talk because he explicitly mentions a 2008 piece in the guardian and other cases of "slower than expected".[1]
0. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0MnX_sjXMio https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0MnX_sjXMio
1. https://youtu.be/0MnX_sjXMio?t=100 https://youtu.be/0MnX_sjXMio?t=100