I had also written this longer bit but felt more political, and less political science, then top comment so separated it. Would be hard to build into this mode

I had also written this longer bit but felt more political, and less political science, then top comment so separated it. Would be hard to build into this model, but it would be interesting to see how powerful self reinforcing voter suppression has been in driving this anti-turnout group bias. The more they suppress the vote and play games the more people feel it's rigged and don't participate. Social media both amplifies and provides a platform for campaigns to weaponize. Deliberately targeting voters on FB to enforce messages of black complacency - using BLM as 'dejectedness' and 'complacency' of no change so that their vote doesn't matter. [2,3]. Lots of instances of targeting black and brown voters with calls giving wrong info on when or how to vote [4]. Russia copied this race baiting and they also targeted conservatives [5]. This past election saw targeted Hispanic voters, having candidates change their names in Florida to confuse the ballot. I can't find a quick source but one of these spoiler candidates even shaved their head lol to have a more similar look so far as I can remember. To be fair there is also a history of similar racist push polling by Dems in the south during primaries too but the overwhelming suppression of voters is perpetrated by conservatives. [1] https://theconversation.com/election-polls-are-more-accurate-if-they-ask-participants-how-others-will-vote-150121 https://theconversation.com/election-polls-are-more-accurate... [2] https://www.npr.org/2020/11/24/938187233/trump-push-to-invalidate-votes-in-heavily-black-cities-alarms-civil-rights-group https://www.npr.org/2020/11/24/938187233/trump-push-to-inval... [3] https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2020/09/28/trump-election-campaign-voter-suppression-black-americans-2016/3567588001/ https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2020/09/28/trump-electio... [4] https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/11/03/robocall-election-day/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/11/03/robocal... [5] https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-49987657 https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-49987657