4 ms·

This is a novice interpretation of the data. Most early cases are recorded as mild. Severe cases and hospitalizations lag infections by 2-3 weeks, and deaths

This is a novice interpretation of the data. Most early cases are recorded as mild. Severe cases and hospitalizations lag infections by 2-3 weeks, and deaths lag by 2-3 months. It's frankly irresponsible to report this factoid without that caveat.

easytiger 5y ago
No more irresponsible that devastating thousands of lives and businesses over a hysterical piece of zero information because it is politically expedient
azangru 5y ago
> Severe cases and hospitalizations lag infections by 2-3 weeks The starting point in this case would be symptoms onset, surely? First samples were taken on November 14; the median time between the onset of symptoms and hospitalization is 5-10 days; patients have been followed since November 18 [0]. [0] https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/safrican-doctor-says-patients-with-omicron-variant-have-very-mild-symptoms-2021-11-28/ https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/safrican-doctor-says-pa...
- heavyset_go 5y ago
  Symptom onset precedes hospitalization by several weeks in the average case that requires hospitalization.
  - azangru 5y ago
    Where's this data from? From what I could find: - CDC: a median of 5-12 days [0] - a Belgian study, spring 2020, 14000+ patients: a median of 3-10 days [1] - a Dutch study, spring 2021, 950 patients: a median of 7 days [2] [0] - https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-guidance-management-patients.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-guida... [1] - https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33080869/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33080869/ [2] - https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0248713 https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal...
a0-prw 5y ago
What is this absolute bullshit. Which shittube did you suck this "information" from, mr expert? Oh, sorry, your fear-mongering machine hasn't had time to power up yet? Sorry about that fucktard.
scotty79 5y ago
Peak deaths lag peak new cases by 2 weeks. Given that testing takes some time (about a week?) deaths most usually lags infection by 3 weeks and in 90% of cases less than a month.

easytiger 5y ago

No more irresponsible that devastating thousands of lives and businesses over a hysterical piece of zero information because it is politically expedient

azangru 5y ago

> Severe cases and hospitalizations lag infections by 2-3 weeks The starting point in this case would be symptoms onset, surely? First samples were taken on November 14; the median time between the onset of symptoms and hospitalization is 5-10 days; patients have been followed since November 18 [0]. [0] https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/safrican-doctor-says-patients-with-omicron-variant-have-very-mild-symptoms-2021-11-28/ https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/safrican-doctor-says-pa...

heavyset_go 5y ago
Symptom onset precedes hospitalization by several weeks in the average case that requires hospitalization.
- azangru 5y ago
  Where's this data from? From what I could find: - CDC: a median of 5-12 days [0] - a Belgian study, spring 2020, 14000+ patients: a median of 3-10 days [1] - a Dutch study, spring 2021, 950 patients: a median of 7 days [2] [0] - https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-guidance-management-patients.html https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/clinical-guida... [1] - https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33080869/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33080869/ [2] - https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0248713 https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal...

a0-prw 5y ago

What is this absolute bullshit. Which shittube did you suck this "information" from, mr expert? Oh, sorry, your fear-mongering machine hasn't had time to power up yet? Sorry about that fucktard.

scotty79 5y ago

Peak deaths lag peak new cases by 2 weeks. Given that testing takes some time (about a week?) deaths most usually lags infection by 3 weeks and in 90% of cases less than a month.