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I don't think anyone believes from a traditional value perspective that it is. There are two elements to the stock markets: 1) The traditional element in whic
by anm89 5y ago
I don't think anyone believes from a traditional value perspective that it is.
There are two elements to the stock markets:
1) The traditional element in which people attempts to buy and sell companies at good values to produce a return
2) The portfolio construction, pure supply demand element. People have money sitting around and they need to try to find a way to at least protect that money from inflation so they have to try to put somewhere. And there are really only so many options, real estate, commodities, debt securities and equity securities. Most of the time people are generally just deciding between debt and equity (bonds and stocks).
Right now, debt is historically unattractive so everyone is in equities because it's better than bonds. ETFs further entrench this because most of the retail market is just dumping their money into things like "growth ETFs" that are going to buy things like Docusign because it's sector is "tech" regardless of if any of those people would actually personally invest in that company.
This is somewhat crazy sounding but it's not necessarily irrational. You do have to pick one of those categories if you want to at least try to not lose money to inflation and if everyone of them sound terrible you start looking for the least terrible.
- Kranar 5y agoThis explanation is too vague to be of any use. You can apply this argument to any company whatsoever, in which case all tech companies should be worth $50B. The question is why is Docusign, specifically, valued at $50B while other tech companies, even those that are publicly traded, are not valued at $50B.
- anm89 5y agoRight, every medium and large tech stock is trading at ridiculous multiples with very few exceptions. Thats the whole point. Obviously when describing a factor in the stock market your goal isn't to list every single influence but this one influence far and away dominates tech stock valuations