I'm reading everything you're reading, and my takeaway is: it's simply too early to be sure. The best thing to do is roughly what's happening - take some sensib

I'm reading everything you're reading, and my takeaway is: it's simply too early to be sure. The best thing to do is roughly what's happening - take some sensible precautions while we figure out what's going on. My back-of-the-hand barely-estimated odds are something like: 50% chance it's similar to, a little more prevalent than Delta, with similar immune escape. A slightly worse version of the current problem. 25% chance it turns out to be way more dangerous than Delta for some reason (requires a new vaccine, more deadly, way way more infectious etc). 25% chance it ends up being no big deal/not worse than delta/less deadly/little to no immune escape But this is based on how these things have seemed to shake out over the last two years, not any sure science. Don't rely on me.