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We are under a new cold War and people don't seem to realize this. Russia has had troops around Ukraine for the last 7 years. The Donetsk and Lugansk "republic

We are under a new cold War and people don't seem to realize this. Russia has had troops around Ukraine for the last 7 years. The Donetsk and Lugansk "republics" exist since 2014. Russia is waiting for Ukraine's move since then. As long as USA has bases in Japan and has military presence in Taiwan... China won't make a move. It's easier to wait for USA to leave though. We'll see continuous provocation between the blocks (most recently, Afghanistan Taliban Regime, Belorussian usage of immigrants against the EU, etc). But a serious war around the corner sounds a bit too far from reality.

hef19898 5y ago
I hope so. Putin was the first to push the limits. He got away with Ukraine without any serious response from the West. Now he is encouraged, and the only question remains is whether or not NATO is really ready to got to war over the Baltics. NATOs de-facto defeat in Afghanistan definitely didn't help in projecting strength, nor is the constant in-fighting within the EU. China is doing the same now with Taiwan. Try calling Taiwan a country as a movie star -> forced apology. Bodies like the IOC already falted. No guarantee that sometime someone tries, or feels forced to try for whatever reason, to push it. If the West doesn't react to that, well, then all the others will push the limits as well.
- kunagi7 5y ago
  After the pro-EU Ukrainians ignited the Euromaidan movement (to remove a Kremlin aligned president) a civil war started in Ukraine. At that point Putin supported one side of the war and got Crimea for almost nothing. There's also the closely related Donbas war which never stopped. So he got the first place at it. USA has lost its image of "being the police of the world" and the countries that depend on that image are suffering. Their future looks quite grim. Besides that, Taiwan isn't recognized by the UN since 1971 and by the IOC since 1981. The west didn't react back then either.
  - hef19898 5y ago
    Regarding Taiwan, I honestly never understood why everyone caved to China already back then. Ok, today it is all about money. Back then, I don't know. Maybe there was hope to unite China under a pro-West government? Because even the DDR and North Korea are / were recognized.
treeman79 5y ago
My opinion . I don’t think current administration would do anything in response to an invasion of Taiwan. Our allies certainly know we are weak. This is the perfect time for China. Before the next election and a possibly hardline guy is elected. Cuban mistake crisis happened because Kennedy was perceived as weak willed. The generals behind him were not and pushed him hard toward stronger response. Was close to an American revolt.
- Mountain_Skies 5y ago
  Wouldn't be too surprised if China and Russia coordinated their territorial ambitions. Sino-Russian relations can get strained at times but overall are good. It seems they have a common adversary in the US lead western world. I doubt there's much appetite amongst the public in the west for World War III, even if it were to be non-nuclear. It's hard to get good information but from what I know of China's naval capabilities, their limited scope might be the biggest impediment to taking over Taiwan rather than worry about geopolitical reactions to it.
LinuxBender 5y ago
This was the case with China/Taiwan and I am not sure why this isn't being reported on, but in his talks with Xi Jinping, President Biden said that the US supports a One China model and won't interfere with Taiwan. I am not actually sure what might come of that but it sound like permission to invade. I am also seeing chip manufacturers in the US quickly ramp up but that could be a coincidence. I really don't know what to make of it. It was my understanding that Taiwan made chips that the US could not make?

hef19898 5y ago

I hope so. Putin was the first to push the limits. He got away with Ukraine without any serious response from the West. Now he is encouraged, and the only question remains is whether or not NATO is really ready to got to war over the Baltics. NATOs de-facto defeat in Afghanistan definitely didn't help in projecting strength, nor is the constant in-fighting within the EU. China is doing the same now with Taiwan. Try calling Taiwan a country as a movie star -> forced apology. Bodies like the IOC already falted. No guarantee that sometime someone tries, or feels forced to try for whatever reason, to push it. If the West doesn't react to that, well, then all the others will push the limits as well.

kunagi7 5y ago
After the pro-EU Ukrainians ignited the Euromaidan movement (to remove a Kremlin aligned president) a civil war started in Ukraine. At that point Putin supported one side of the war and got Crimea for almost nothing. There's also the closely related Donbas war which never stopped. So he got the first place at it. USA has lost its image of "being the police of the world" and the countries that depend on that image are suffering. Their future looks quite grim. Besides that, Taiwan isn't recognized by the UN since 1971 and by the IOC since 1981. The west didn't react back then either.
- hef19898 5y ago
  Regarding Taiwan, I honestly never understood why everyone caved to China already back then. Ok, today it is all about money. Back then, I don't know. Maybe there was hope to unite China under a pro-West government? Because even the DDR and North Korea are / were recognized.

treeman79 5y ago

My opinion . I don’t think current administration would do anything in response to an invasion of Taiwan. Our allies certainly know we are weak. This is the perfect time for China. Before the next election and a possibly hardline guy is elected. Cuban mistake crisis happened because Kennedy was perceived as weak willed. The generals behind him were not and pushed him hard toward stronger response. Was close to an American revolt.

Mountain_Skies 5y ago
Wouldn't be too surprised if China and Russia coordinated their territorial ambitions. Sino-Russian relations can get strained at times but overall are good. It seems they have a common adversary in the US lead western world. I doubt there's much appetite amongst the public in the west for World War III, even if it were to be non-nuclear. It's hard to get good information but from what I know of China's naval capabilities, their limited scope might be the biggest impediment to taking over Taiwan rather than worry about geopolitical reactions to it.

LinuxBender 5y ago

This was the case with China/Taiwan and I am not sure why this isn't being reported on, but in his talks with Xi Jinping, President Biden said that the US supports a One China model and won't interfere with Taiwan. I am not actually sure what might come of that but it sound like permission to invade. I am also seeing chip manufacturers in the US quickly ramp up but that could be a coincidence. I really don't know what to make of it. It was my understanding that Taiwan made chips that the US could not make?