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But the actual commonsense evidence is that Alpha isn't more transmissive, which makes Vincent right. Alpha, Delta, and every other variant has turned out to be

by calf 5y ago

But the actual commonsense evidence is that Alpha isn't more transmissive, which makes Vincent right. Alpha, Delta, and every other variant has turned out to be the same when practically speaking as experienced in our actual cities and populations across the world. So Vincent is ultimately correct: the "evidence" based on modeling was lacking, and his second point was that politicians and the media should not be rhetorically distorting the scientific positions that can be taken. There's a difference between taking reasonable precautions and oversimplifying scientific positions in order to "motivate" the public or to make media hype (both of which are TWiV's pet peeve, as anyone who has been watching their videos can see).

tigershark 5y ago
Absolutely False. https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/5-things-to-know-delta-variant-covid https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/5-things-to-know-delta-var... Delta’s quick growth rate has been especially dramatic, says F. Perry Wilson, MD, a Yale Medicine epidemiologist. Delta was spreading 50% faster than Alpha, which was 50% more contagious than the original strain of SARS-CoV-2, he says. “In a completely unmitigated environment—where no one is vaccinated or wearing masks—it’s estimated that the average person infected with the original coronavirus strain will infect 2.5 other people,” Dr. Wilson says. “In the same environment, Delta would spread from one person to maybe 3.5 or 4 other people.” https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34369565/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34369565/ “ We found a mean R0 of 5.08, which is much higher than the R0 of the ancestral strain of 2.79.” Please stop spreading misinformation.
TomSwirly 5y ago
> Alpha, Delta, and every other variant has turned out to be the same when practically speaking as experienced in our actual cities and populations across the world. This claim is wildly false, and you've already been refuted by someone else. Remove your false post.

by calf 5y ago

tigershark 5y ago

Absolutely False. https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/5-things-to-know-delta-variant-covid https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/5-things-to-know-delta-var... Delta’s quick growth rate has been especially dramatic, says F. Perry Wilson, MD, a Yale Medicine epidemiologist. Delta was spreading 50% faster than Alpha, which was 50% more contagious than the original strain of SARS-CoV-2, he says. “In a completely unmitigated environment—where no one is vaccinated or wearing masks—it’s estimated that the average person infected with the original coronavirus strain will infect 2.5 other people,” Dr. Wilson says. “In the same environment, Delta would spread from one person to maybe 3.5 or 4 other people.” https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34369565/ https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34369565/ “ We found a mean R0 of 5.08, which is much higher than the R0 of the ancestral strain of 2.79.” Please stop spreading misinformation.

TomSwirly 5y ago

> Alpha, Delta, and every other variant has turned out to be the same when practically speaking as experienced in our actual cities and populations across the world. This claim is wildly false, and you've already been refuted by someone else. Remove your false post.