5 ms·

I think you need to define singularity here. If it works historically like a black hole - Basically a black hole is not defined for the external observer by th

by fsloth 5y ago

I think you need to define singularity here. If it works historically like a black hole - Basically a black hole is not defined for the external observer by the singularity, but by the radius under which the escape velocity exceeds speed of light. External universe observes a steepening gravitational force, and then an unpiercable black wall. If you look at human history, lots of things have been accelerating since the dawn of industrialization (and after scientists and mathematicians figured out a way of existence where instead of hiding their discoveries they flaunt them). Is the jaquard loom the first sign of impending computational nirvana? From historical perspective a hundred years is a really brief time so if I wanted to go Neal Stephenson -witty I would say yes, that was the first sign and the founding of the royal society another. It depends how far from the event horizon you want the signs to be and are we on a historical gradient towards it - which we probably wont observe since a) it's in the future b) it's an event horizon so it will completely surprise us. All of the above was more or less tongue in cheek.

stevenjgarner 5y ago
When human knowledge starts doubling instantly or at most every few seconds .... THAT is a singularity. In 1900 human knowledge doubled approximately every 100 years. By the end of 1945, the rate was every 25 years. The “Knowledge Doubling Curve”, as it’s commonly known, was created by Buckminster Fuller in 1982. From an article on Industry Tap written by David Schilling, the host went on to say that not only is human knowledge, on average, doubling every 13 months, we are quickly on our way, with the help of the Internet, to the doubling of knowledge every 12 hours. If you want to take this even further down the preverbial road, you combine this with Ray Kurzweil’s (Head of Google Artificial Intelligence) “singularity” theory and Google’s Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen’s ideas which are discussed in their book, “The New Digital Age: Reshaping the Future of People, Nations and Business” and you have some serious changes to technology, human intelligence and business coming down the pike whether you like it or not - https://lodestarsolutions.com/keeping-up-with-the-surge-of-information-and-human-knowledge/ https://lodestarsolutions.com/keeping-up-with-the-surge-of-i...
- kiba 5y ago
  That still leaves singularity undefined. What does it mean, socially and culturally?

by fsloth 5y ago

stevenjgarner 5y ago

When human knowledge starts doubling instantly or at most every few seconds .... THAT is a singularity. In 1900 human knowledge doubled approximately every 100 years. By the end of 1945, the rate was every 25 years. The “Knowledge Doubling Curve”, as it’s commonly known, was created by Buckminster Fuller in 1982. From an article on Industry Tap written by David Schilling, the host went on to say that not only is human knowledge, on average, doubling every 13 months, we are quickly on our way, with the help of the Internet, to the doubling of knowledge every 12 hours. If you want to take this even further down the preverbial road, you combine this with Ray Kurzweil’s (Head of Google Artificial Intelligence) “singularity” theory and Google’s Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen’s ideas which are discussed in their book, “The New Digital Age: Reshaping the Future of People, Nations and Business” and you have some serious changes to technology, human intelligence and business coming down the pike whether you like it or not - https://lodestarsolutions.com/keeping-up-with-the-surge-of-information-and-human-knowledge/ https://lodestarsolutions.com/keeping-up-with-the-surge-of-i...

kiba 5y ago
That still leaves singularity undefined. What does it mean, socially and culturally?