2 ms·
Umm, no. First off, it's diametrically wrong on the main takeaway right at the very top: We're facing 25 years of prosperity, freedom, and a better environmen
by vanusa 5y ago
Umm, no. First off, it's diametrically wrong on the main takeaway right at the very top:
We're facing 25 years of prosperity, freedom, and a better environment for the whole world.
And while I don't have time to unpack a lot of the way-wrong predictions made, a few do seem to jump out:
By about 2005, animals are used for developing organs that can be donated to humans
By 2010, China is generally acknowledged to be on a path toward more democratic politics
And (cringe):
The vast majority of Americans who see their prospects rising with the expanding economy are genuinely sympathetic to the plight of those left behind.
Along with essentially no mention of the reality of climate change, the emergence of social media and its effect on the collective psyche (as opposed to simply "videophones"); rampant inequality and the plague of populist politics, etc.
TL;DR the original article gets a lot of stuff right, a lot of other stuff not so much or just plain wrong. An interesting read and not a bad attempt at holistic projection -- but "predicts with insane accuracy", well ...
let's just say it didn't predict the