I find this less convincing. Europe is missing Sweden and Spain. Obviously, there might be reasons but this omission is reducing its predictive power. The rest

I find this less convincing. Europe is missing Sweden and Spain. Obviously, there might be reasons but this omission is reducing its predictive power. The rest are simple truisms – vaccines work but not enough; boosters can help especially for elderly etc. And still some big waves just happen and who knows, if we wait longer, Sweden, Spain un UK might experience bigger waves as well.