4 ms·

Fixation on vehicle companies isn't really relevant here.

• adam_arthur 5y ago
  It's totally relevant. Valuation for pretty much everything speculative went up many times over just the past two years. Startup valuation is no different. Very unlikely to be a new normal, but a brief period of hysteria as has happened many times in history. Not speaking to the Vercel case by any means... Not aware of their prospects or otherwise that justifies this value. We'll pretty soon see those who have been swimming naked get crushed when the tide goes out. Likely happening around now/start of next year with Fed shift to tightening, and effect of 2020/21 transfer payments waning. Vast majority of tech valued at 100x sales have no justification as an investment. It's dotcom 2.0, but with more legitimate businesses that are simply far overvalued. EV is just the most obvious and visible manifestation of this. Rivian at 150B value with 0 sales and many competitors. You have to be pretty delusional to invest in things like this and expect not to lose big. And best case you may 2 or 3x many years from now? What kind of risk/reward tradeoff is that?