> Or perhaps there’s enough evidence, but it takes a long time to process it? But then how come the prediction markets are already 90% sure what decision they’l

> Or perhaps there’s enough evidence, but it takes a long time to process it? But then how come the prediction markets are already 90% sure what decision they’ll make? Is this kind of a Grossman-Stiglitz Paradox? I guess the FDA should just consult the prediction market to figure out what decision they will make!