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You’ve just made an analogy to a situation that ~never happens in complex profession which ~none of us have direct experience in at a professional level. Thats
by afarrell 5y ago
You’ve just made an analogy to a situation that ~never happens in complex profession which ~none of us have direct experience in at a professional level. Thats fine, but it doesn’t really help with reasoning.
An estimate serves the purpose of allowing you to say “well the deadline is in 3 weeks and our best estimate is that this will take 9 weeks. Lets save ourselves the effort, cancel the project, and do something more profitable with our time.
In your analogy, that would be the equivalent of… jumping out of the airplane mid-flight, confident that you can just ride brooms to Iceland because thinking of this as a life-or-death decision is incorrect.
- willcipriano 5y agoYou don't really have a deadline in 3 weeks if you can make the choice to not do it. I was speaking to work that has already been committed to. Think things like changes in the law that you must adapt to or close the business.
- wpietri 5y agoIn that case, 99% of deadlines are not what you'd call real deadlines. Even in your fantasy case, what often happens in the real world is regulators give more time for companies working to comply. So if it helps you, just imagine here that we're talking about the 99+% case, rather than the extremely rare "real" deadline.