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> you walk by a group of people in the park and they’re infected >This has never been documented in the entire history of SARS-CoV2 This seems like something a
by dTal 5y ago
> you walk by a group of people in the park and they’re infected
>This has never been documented in the entire history of SARS-CoV2
This seems like something at risk of being a self fulfilling prophecy. How would something like that be documented? You can't do contact tracing on random people you walk past in the park. Even the contact tracing apps, sparsely used as they are, generally require a 15 minute contact period to "count". We've assumed that it can't happen, but we have no way of knowing if it did happen.
(Anecdata, accompany with 0.36g sodium chloride: I was speaking to someone over the weekend who claims they can pinpoint to a 20-minute window when they got infected (on the basis that they could not have caught it from anyone else that day) and they reckon that they got it from walking down an extremely densely crowded alleyway. Due to a testing screwup, this person isn't even documented as having had Covid at all. Of course, they may be mistaken, but nevertheless it goes to show that just because something happened, doesn't mean it will be recorded.)
- carlmr 5y agoYou can still make a reasonable assumption even without contact tracing of this kind. 1. We have people getting infected with covid after provable close contact with others that are infected. 2. We have comparably few infections at outside events when people are standing close to each other, but it does happen. Even if you have no contact tracing for the walk-by infection case, just by looking at numbers 1 and 2 you could extrapolate to non-close contact outdoors not being very infectious. Or reasoning from another perspective, if walk-by were enough to infect people, everyone would have already had it.