> In hindsight, it is obvious that the fact a scientist has made an important chance discovery in the past does not mean he or she is more likely to make one in

> In hindsight, it is obvious that the fact a scientist has made an important chance discovery in the past does not mean he or she is more likely to make one in the future. I believe luck is a bigger part of life than we'd like to admit to ourselves. However, saying talent doesn't play a role in success (especially in science) seems plain wrong.