I once sketched out a cyber-dystopia plot like this (or was it a business plan?) - with all the hubbub around independent fact-checkers and fake news. I figure

I once sketched out a cyber-dystopia plot like this (or was it a business plan?) - with all the hubbub around independent fact-checkers and fake news. I figure whoever has the most accurate information about what's true will have the best odds at predicting the future, so how about a platform for attaching news articles to a prediction, and paying out whether the prediction comes true. Essentially longbets.org except much shorter timescales, and with news articles attached to predictions. Eventually you could even follow journalists based on how often their reporting is used to make an accurate prediction - would probably turn into a patrons-only newsletter sort of thing, the better you're able to predict what happens next. I guess the stock market is already doing this for corporate outcomes, but it might be interesting to be able to bet on the court cases, elections, global warming damages etc. (To be clear, I understand people already make bets on this, the dystopia is having the betting odds of some outcome attached to each piece of news)