It's difficult for me to see how AI will replace massive numbers of programmers, rather than expand their productivity and/or change the nature of their work.

It's difficult for me to see how AI will replace massive numbers of programmers, rather than expand their productivity and/or change the nature of their work. Business logic is about getting very tiny details and edge cases correct: "if a, b and c but not d and e, unless of course f and g"... I don't see how that code can be created by an AI in a way that doesn't create even more work for someone fixing bugs. We have barely scratched the surface of what tech can offer in most brick and mortar industries because this business logic is so incredibly difficult to automate. It seems unfeasible that a magic AI will come along and do what humans cannot do alone. I think we'll see programming evolve and software engineers will probably be among the first workers who learn to work in truly collaborative ways with AI.