2 ms·
I really dislike forecasting with vague statements that are almost certainly going to be correct. Case in point: "Anti-aging technology will extend the health-
by cl42 5y ago
I really dislike forecasting with vague statements that are almost certainly going to be correct.
Case in point: "Anti-aging technology will extend the health-spans of the rich."
There are myriad ways in which this statement will be true and yet it's completely useless today. As long as there is any tech (biotech, medicine, plastic surgery, etc.) that extends people's lives by even a little bit, or improves their QOL into a slightly older age, then this is true.
It's unactionable, unclear, etc.
I'm constantly looking for good, verifiable, and actionable forecasts for this stuff, if anyone has them. And if you are interested in doing such a thing, please reach out. :)