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Is there any measures of what percent of those pre-2008 builds were speculative investments vs. occupant-owners? It reminds me of the scene in The Big Short whe
by bumby 5y ago
Is there any measures of what percent of those pre-2008 builds were speculative investments vs. occupant-owners? It reminds me of the scene in The Big Short when he knew the system was on a precipice of disaster when the a stripper was telling him about the multiple homes she owns.
It seems to me many bubbles are the result of speculation with easy credit and I’m not sure 2008 can be considered a “perturbation” instead of a correction.
- aeternum 5y agohttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EOWNOCCUSQ176N https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EOWNOCCUSQ176N
- bumby 5y agoThank you. Maybe you can help me understand this correctly. Your link shows the "owner-occupied" housing was relatively flat during the housing crises. The link below shows new housing units were still increasing during that time.[1] Does that imply most of the new builds were investment properties (i.e. not owner occupied) during this time period? [1]https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST
- aeternum 5y agoVacancies were also (relatively) high during that time. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ESALEUSQ176N https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ESALEUSQ176N I think this is what matters most. It's good to have some vacancies so that people have options but too many likely indicates there's some speculation/over-building going on that the market doesn't support.
- bumby 5y agoThat makes perfect sense, thank you.