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Sweden is more comparable to Germany in population structure. Especially Norway and Finland are completely different. Have a look here (tone is satirical) for

by bcalp 5y ago

Sweden is more comparable to Germany in population structure. Especially Norway and Finland are completely different. Have a look here (tone is satirical) for a comparison of Sweden's and Germany's graphs: https://philip.greenspun.com/blog/2021/11/12/wear-a-mask-and-get-a-vaccine-so-that-sars-cov-2-can-attack-you-when-youre-older-and-fatter/ https://philip.greenspun.com/blog/2021/11/12/wear-a-mask-and... Germany's numbers are exploding right now. In the U.S. you could also compare New York and Vermont. New York was more like Sweden (not by choice, but through incompetence and extreme population density). Vermont had the officially recommended policies and was a poster child. Now the Vermont numbers are exploding, while New York's are not. There is something to be said for the theory that the highly connected nodes in the social graph (who are often very healthy) all need to be infected in a short period. Then the outbreaks stop (like they have always done with the flu).

Oddskar 5y ago
The graph is unusable considering the context of the different countries. You simply can not compare the two considering how little attention Sweden actually pays to Covid in general and how little testing facilities there actually are in comparison to Germany.
- gaftx 5y ago
  This is true, but the fatality graphs tell the same story: Rising in Germany now, flat in Sweden. And I presume that fatalities are lagging behind the case graphs by 4-8 weeks, so it is going to get worse in Germany.
- pfortuny 5y ago
  BUT: being positive in a test is NOT AT ALL SIMILAR to being sick. And this is very important.
bigodbiel 5y ago
There is this theory about pockets of herd immunity being formed after massive infection waves. These tend to be formed in a period of 2-3 months and with new infections dropping radically afterwards. Certain regions in India are now a perfect example.

by bcalp 5y ago

Oddskar 5y ago

The graph is unusable considering the context of the different countries. You simply can not compare the two considering how little attention Sweden actually pays to Covid in general and how little testing facilities there actually are in comparison to Germany.

gaftx 5y ago
This is true, but the fatality graphs tell the same story: Rising in Germany now, flat in Sweden. And I presume that fatalities are lagging behind the case graphs by 4-8 weeks, so it is going to get worse in Germany.
pfortuny 5y ago
BUT: being positive in a test is NOT AT ALL SIMILAR to being sick. And this is very important.

bigodbiel 5y ago

There is this theory about pockets of herd immunity being formed after massive infection waves. These tend to be formed in a period of 2-3 months and with new infections dropping radically afterwards. Certain regions in India are now a perfect example.