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You could argue that Nixon improved relations with China to counter-balance USSR influence during the Cold War. It was obviously foolish to help China become a
by redis_mlc 5y ago
You could argue that Nixon improved relations with China to counter-balance USSR influence during the Cold War.
It was obviously foolish to help China become an economic power since the CCP has been at war with the US since the end of WW2 (2 Taiwan Straits wars, 2 Korean wars, Vietnam war), largely driven by Maoist ideology. (The USSR was involved in stopping the Straits wars to prevent wider conflicts.)
(The USSR dealt with an aggressive CCP by obliterating their forces during a border conflict using overkill. The CCP doesn't understand anything less. The USSR also planned to use nuclear weapons on Beijing around 1969, but the US intervened.)
I followed outsourcing to China in the business press from about 1972 to 2000. I shook my head at the end of each article. But here we are.
What's important to realize is that both the CCP and Russia make public statements and:
1) they're either obviously hyperbolic or
2) they accurately represent their actual plans.
#2 is not well-understood by our politicians for some reason. Pompeo is one of the few people to get it, hence the US' very effective strategy for the CCP during the Trump administration.
Note that China has structural weaknesses that will diminish its power: they import 50% of their energy and food, and have a demographic problem that could cut their population in half. They also have serious flooding issues, with 100,000 questionable dams built since 1945.
And the US can currently only make one F-35 per week, while in WW2 the P-51 was literally stamped out.
- kelnos 5y ago> Note that China has structural weaknesses that will diminish its power: they import 50% of their energy and food, and have a demographic problem that could cut their population in half. They also have serious flooding issues, with 100,000 questionable dams built since 1945. This is the only thing that gives me hope, honestly. The West is too busy trying to play nice for whatever reason[0]. I think the only thing that will save us is China making catastrophic mistakes during their continuing rise to power, or the structural problems you mention that they may not be able to do anything about at this point. [0] Any thoughts there? You seem to be pretty knowledgeable on this topic. My general assumption is that business interests like where China is going (a richer China means more and more access to a huge market), but don't care about the long-term effects to the US economy. But that sounds too simplistic to be the whole story.
- redis_mlc 5y ago[dead]