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Right. And you cannot be a Bayesian thinker about COVID vaccines because the data quality is way too low for that. People are saying things in this thread like
by native_samples 5y ago
Right. And you cannot be a Bayesian thinker about COVID vaccines because the data quality is way too low for that. People are saying things in this thread like "the risk of heart damage is X%", as if that's actually a robust statistic.
Virtually no accurate, trustworthy and useful information about the safety or effectiveness of the vaccines is available. The public health and media establishment is far too biased in favour of vaccines and far too biased against anything that might discourage people from taking it. In such an environment it doesn't matter whether you understand Bayes theorem or not. You can't just do some calculations and understand the risks.